- The near-term focus has been on the short-term impact of Crimea annexation.
- Longer-term, Russia is likely to be saddled with burdens.
- After an inevitable economic collapse, longer-term, Ukraine may be more united, will better attract western capital, and may be better off.
A great contrarian take from Foreign Affairs:
http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/141020/alexander-j-motyl/is-losing-crimea-a-loss